The 49ers’ fascinating quarterback controversy saw a new wrinkle this morning, when safety Donte Whitner went on the Dan Patrick show and told Mike Florio that Colin Kaepernick would start on Sunday in New Orleans.
Let’s review what has been a wild Thanksgiving week in Santa Clara: on Wednesday evening Jim Trotter reported that Jim Harbaugh told Alex Smith that the job was Kaepernick’s, regardless of Smith’s health, and chaos ensued. Then Smith told ESPN’s Trent Dilfer that the starting spot was still up in the air with both quarterbacks simply splitting first team reps. Greg Roman reiterated as much to the local media on Thursday:
“No decision has been made. We’re hopeful that [QB] Alex [Smith] gets cleared tomorrow, physically. We’re confident in both quarterbacks to be on the field. We’re always going to make way all the information as we have it and make the best decision for the team at the time.
“Colin’s been getting pretty similar to what he got last week. He’s getting some of the reps and Alex is getting some of the reps, and that’s how it gets divvied up. It’s more play-by-play than first team reps, second team reps, really don’t know what that means. But the reps are divvied up accordingly.”
Then Whitner hit the airwaves and spilled the beans.
This comes on the heels of the 49ers’ recent cloak and dagger act, when they waited until Monday morning to announce that Kaepernick would be starting. In the process, Harbaugh and the 49ers threw Chicago a wicked curveball, one they hope to replicate against the Saints.
Harbaugh refused to name a starting quarterback on Friday afternoon. “We feel like there is no competitive advantage for us to announce that decision,” said Harbaugh, who did announce that as long as Smith’s concussion symptoms don’t return, he should be cleared tomorrow after undergoing another concussion test today.
Trying to make sense out of the madness
We’ll probably never know precisely how this week’s media firestorm went down, but here’s my best guess:
– Smith still has not been medically cleared to play, meaning his chances of playing in New Orleans were close to nil anyway, even if Smith is Harbaugh’s guy (he isn’t). I wouldn’t be surprised to see Smith listed as inactive for the second consecutive week.
– Harbaugh told Smith exactly what Trotter reported. Trotter’s source could be anyone, really — one of Smith’s teammates, a front office source, one of the assistant coaches, Smith’s or Kaepernick’s agent…
– Smith was told to toe the company line (example: Roman’s quotes above, which are designed to keep the Saints in the dark as long as possible). When Trent Dilfer texted/called Smith after Trotter’s report, Smith told Dilfer what he was supposed to.
– Whitner, who doesn’t believe the 49ers need to keep their QB situation private in order to beat the Saints, told Florio the truth. Like many of his teammates, Whitner is ready to turn the page and roll with Kaepernick for the rest of the year.
Could my story turn out completely incorrect? With the type of secrecy and deception involved, absolutely. Ruthless Sports Guy thinks this whole thing is a ruse and we’ll see Smith under center at The Superdome. We bet lunch on this, so I’m planning on ordering a delicious sandwich (Ike’s?) if/when Kaep Kap gets the starting nod.














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NY Times has an article on page 4 today: Quarterback "quandry resembles Montana and Young" HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA! Please, no more, it hurts!
Alez smith is still the qb of this team Go Niners
That would be "kicking" Smith under.....
Did any of you actually listen to the Whitner interview? He wasn't licking Smith under the bus, so much as answering a question by Patrick. The funniest thing here is that Harbaugh is only using this so the Saints can't prepare. The whole 49er team is on the same page, and playing the game. I still say, if you think Kaepernick is the next Brady, you are all complete idiots. Go watch the Pistol offense at Nevada and the competition Nevada played against, vs the West Coast @ Michigan and the competition Brady played against. I have seen nothing but 'remember how Brady got a starting job!?' threads on here. All i know is that if CK gets worked by the Saints, Pats, and Seahawks, I better see Fitz Future Unemployment check on here with an apology considering his "Alex Megafan" comments. Smart people see Colin may not be ready yet, and Smith is still the best option for this year. If Colin goes off and starts into the playoffs, I will certainly publicly eat my words. However, one good game, against an unprepared Bears team that immediately started demoting people after the game, does not make a Super Bowl run.
As far as Whitner throwing a log into the fire, it does pique my curiosity over the question why he is contradicting both Harbaugh and Roman. I mean, if I was a 49er, to stay in the same page with the team and all of the coaches, I would only answer what Harbo/Roman says publicly. You know, parrot their answers to the press. But instead Whitner seems to be inoblivious to what his coaches are saying and granting himself the privilege of confirming that "Kap" will play. It's just odd. Will the coaches behind closed doors "berate" him for disclosing private team information to the press or for playing to the media the "hot hand?" I sense a excitement with the players over Kap and his potential. The wideouts really want to make catches, that had been missing, like Davis who sort of disappeared from radar. Now Davis has resurfaced with a bow to Kap, have you seen Davis make such a gesture to Alex Smith, except to express his loyalty, which appears to be tilted towards neutrality? We just have to watch who he bows down to, with praying hands, with inspired admiration towards the delivering QB. Last he saw, he nearly gave a curtesy to Kap. Kap might have been wearing a crown, the way Davis paid homage to him.
It looks like Kaepernick has the stronger arm. He stretched the defense with the deep throws and threw lasers on slant patterns. The Saints will prepare for this and Gore could have a huge game. This post made sense. Kaepernick will be out there in the LOUD Superdome. A great test. If he passes this one Alex could necome the best backup in the NFL.
Once Harbaugh was non-committal in the post-game, the only people that didn't know Kaep was starting next week were the mega-Alex fanboys. They really should just come out and say it, as it's been the worst kept secret ever.
I don't think there's such a thing as "Mega Alex Fanboys". What there are plenty of in the Bay Area is "Mega Unabashed Alex Haters." My defense of Alex on the message boards hasn't been due to me disagreeing with Harbaugh's decision to bench him. Nor do I even feel the slightest bit of trepidation with Kaepernick getting another start. My defense of Alex simply stems from the fact that half of the 49ers fan base acts like Kaepernick is coming in to replace Matt Cassel or John Skelton as the starter. It's as if a good portion of the fanbase has been harboring this secret vitriol for Smith over the last 7 plus years, but now have enough of an opening to just unleash. Smith was a 19-20 in the last Monday Night appearance for the 49ers against a Cardinals Defense that pretty much shot down Brady and Ryan, and started 7 for 8 against the Rams and THREW a touchdown with a Concussion staring him down the barrel. Is Kaepernick Better. He just may be and I for one am curious to find out. BUT Smith is still a solid qb in this league: benching or not.
I've become convinced over the years that there are most definitely people on both sides of that. Ones that are more invested in seeing Alex succeed and ones that wouldn't want the 49ers to succeed with Alex. The majority want the 49ers to succeed, regardless of who is QB. Alex has had his run and we know what he is, extremely average. In ten games, you'll see 8 average performances, 1 bad-really bad, and one really good. That is assuming he has a defense on the other side that's holding it down really well more often than not. Average QB's winning the Super Bowl is the exception and not the rule. Here's your QB's who have won 1+ of the last 20 Super Bowls Troy Aikman (x3) Steve Young Brett Favre John Elway (x2) Kurt Warner Tom Brady (x3) Ben Roethlisberger (x2) Peyton Manning Eli Manning (x2) Drew Brees Aaron Rodgers Trent Dilfer Brad Johnson I've taken the liberty of making a little line between two groupings and tell me what you make of this data. The top half, 3 are already in Canton, 4 are pretty much locks and the remaining 4 are highly likely to end up there. The bottom half will never even sniff Canton, save for the induction ceremonies of their teammates that carried them to a Super Bowl win. Dilfer played with one of the best defenses of all time, and Johnson played with one that'd probably just miss the 'best of all time', but not by much. In theory, Alex could win with this defense as they are that good. But how many years did the Ravens have an excellent defense that went to waste? How many years were the Bucs a great defense that couldn't go anywhere? How about the Bears defense of the last decade? Defense wins championships, but it needs offensive support. We know what Alex is, and he's probably not good enough to win the Super Bowl unless the Niners catch a lot of breaks and things just manage to go right for them. Kaepernick has a lower floor, he'll make mistakes that Alex won't, but he's got upside and could give them a legitimate chance to make the Super Bowl before the window closes on this current defense. That window may stay open even with Justin Smith aging, but that's not something you can take for granted. Give Kaepernick the reins this year, if he falls short this year, he can be that much better next year. I won't call Kaapernick the second coming, but he's flashing ability that Alex Smith just does not have. I've supported Harbaugh bringing back and starting Smith because I understood he was a stop gap and not the future. Kaep looks as ready as he's going to get, he's not going to get much better sitting on the bench. Let him go through the fire and see what he's really made of.
Just to take this one step further, lets look at QBs who were on the losing side in the last 20 Super Bowls Tom Brady (x2) Ben Roethlisberger Peyton Manning Kurt Warner (x2) Brett Favre Matt Hasselbeck Donovan McNabb Rich Gannon Steve McNair Drew Bledsoe Jim Kelly (x2) Rex Grossman Jake Delhomme Kerry Collins Chris Chandler Neil O'Donnell Stan Humphries Once again, you'll notice a couple distinctive groups. The top one you got your hall of famers, who all incidentally managed to win one as well. They account for about a third of the losses. Next you have guys who were well above average in their careers, and even elite at times, and none of them ever won a Super Bowl. Last, you have the category where Alex Smith will fall when its all said and done, average QBs, give or take a bit. You can argue he's better than some of them, but really he fits somewhere right into the middle of a pack of average guys who never won the Super Bowl. So here's your final tally: Elite QB's to make the Super Bowl win or lose: 25/40 Above average QB's to make the Super Bowl win or lose: 7/40 Average (give or take) QB's to make the Super Bowl win or lose: 8/40 Elite QB's to win the Super Bowl: 18/20 Above average QB's to win the Super Bowl: 0/20 Average (give or take) QB's to win the Super Bowl: 2/20 How about we quit wasting this defense on a guy who's just plain average?