There were so many reasons to look forward to watching this game, and Colin Kaepernick’s first start in a harsh road environment topped the list. However, this game was more about the group that went pick-6 twice, sacked Drew Brees five times, and left New Orleans Saints receivers feeling woozy. Perhaps that’s fitting, seeing as the 49ers have allowed at least 20 fewer points than any other team in the NFL.
We’ll get to the defense later, but since the talk is going to be 24/7-Kaepernick for the next week or so we might as well touch on his performance first. Were his reads, decisions and numbers — 16-for-25, 231 yards, 2 TD (1 rushing), 1 INT — good enough to make him the full-time starter?
“We’ll address that at a later date,” Jim Harbaugh said after the game.
Glad that’s settled.
As I predicted this morning, the quarterback controversy will travel to St. Louis, where Harbaugh will again probably wait until the last minute to name Kaepernick the starter. That’s the decision I would advise Harbaugh to make if he would just ask (still waiting for his call, any minute now).
Kaepernick’s TD/INT ratio was pedestrian, his yardage was again what you’d expect to see from Matthew Stafford midway through the third quarter, there were two delay of game penalties, and the Saints’ defense isn’t very good. So why not give Smith, whose numbers were better back when he faced the Saints in the playoffs, one more shot?
1. If it weren’t for drops by Michael Crabtree, Vernon Davis and Frank Gore, Kaepernick would’ve completed close to 80% of his passes and come close to 300 yards. Not that Smith hasn’t suffered his fair share of drops (Delanie Walker sure seems to like catching balls from Kaepernick more than Smith, at least this year), but if you’re basing Kaepernick’s overall game on numbers it’s something to consider.
2. Kaepernick’s mobility may or may not have led to a couple holding calls on the 49ers’ offensive line (more on that later), but the Saints didn’t sack him once. Smith has been sacked at least twice in every start this season except for the blowout win over Buffalo, and was sacked four times by the Saints in their playoff matchup in January. For what it’s worth, New Orleans came into this game with one more sack as a team than San Francisco.
3. Like on Monday, there were throws Kaepernick made that we’d rarely/never see from Smith. The 25-yarder across the middle to Walker was one, and this pass in the third quarter was another:
4. The extra attention defenses must pay to Kaepernick’s running ability led to increased activity for the running backs in the passing game. Frank Gore had his first receiving TD of the season, and Bruce Miller caught three passes for 37 yards. The 49ers are a more dangerous and diverse offense with Kaepernick in, and not just because he can throw deep.
5. The 49ers converted 6-of-13 (46%) of 3rd downs (failing on each of their last three), with four of those conversions coming on passes or runs by Kaepernick. That’s an improvement both from last week (4-of-12) and their overall 3rd down conversion rate heading into Sunday’s game (35.4%).
Contrary to Jim Trotter’s report, Harbaugh made it sound like the decision to start Kaepernick was due to the concussion Smith suffered two weeks ago against the Rams.
“The injury, and the fact that Alex had symptoms seven days later, eight days later from the concussion and, I’ve just had some bad experiences. Not going to put a guy back out there who had symptoms like he had,” Harbaugh said. “They were serious enough. Now he eventually got cleared. But the thought was to rotate him back into the action but not all the way to the front line. Thought that would give him a chance to get cleared up completely. That was the rationale.”
Smith’s fans — and based on the reactions I got after making a couple jokes about Smith wearing his helmet on the sidelines, there are still many — can cling to Harbaugh’s words in hopes of Smith getting another opportunity … but I’m not buying it. Harbaugh is going to attempt to keep Jeff Fisher off-balance after his Rams forced a tie at Candlestick Park and bludgeoned the Cardinals in Arizona today (guess Steven Jackson’s career isn’t over, after all).
But all the momentum is going Kaepernick’s way. Smith seemed to know it, based on his expressions during Fox’s frequent closeup shots.
When asked whether he thought he should get a chance to reclaim the starting job, Smith said, “I think I should. It’s not my decision.” After Kaepernick played a solid-but-not-great game in New Orleans, maybe there’s a chance Smith can wrest the job away from Kaepernick in practice. But I have a feeling this decision has already been made, and Harbaugh will take delight in watching the media peons dissect his every word during another week of uncertainty.
49ers leave with some Bayou bruises
We know what to expect when the 49ers and Saints clash — exciting offensive plays, vicious hits and a little dirty play mixed in. Unfortunately for the 49ers, a team that has been exceedingly lucky in the area of injury-prevention, they had to deal with this sight:
Kendall Hunter’s ankle injury made him “questionable” for the rest of the game, although he wouldn’t return. Kyle Williams’ knee injury looked serious enough to wonder if he tore knee ligaments. If both players are out next week, we could see LaMichael James and A.J. Jenkins make it to the active roster for the first time this season.
After the game, the photos got more gruesome, courtesy of Anthony “Bam” Davis, who tweeted this along with, “How could i hold with a finger broken in half? lol”:
Sorry, maybe that x-ray should’ve come with a warning.
Harbaugh also said Williams replaced Ted Ginn because of a hand/wrist injury, not because he muffed that punt that led to a quick Saints touchdown. Mario Manningham looked incredible early, but was seen flexing his hand in apparent pain on the sideline.
Also, is David Akers hurt? Every one of his kickoffs reached the end zone but he missed a 50-yard field goal attempt wide left and had a 33-yard attempt blocked, although the latter probably wasn’t Akers’ fault.
Time to credit the defense
– It seemed early on that the 49ers would be lucky to surrender 32 points, the same number they gave up to New Orleans in January. Then the pressure, nonexistent in the opening quarter, began in earnest.
– So many 49ers defenders were awarded in some way after the 2011 season with All-Pro nods and Pro Bowl invites, but not Ahmad Brooks. That has to change, as he has been a force all season. Today he had 1.5 sacks, two QB hits, four solo tackles and a pass defensed to go along with that pick-6.
– With the way Aldon Smith is playing, I have a feeling he’ll win NFL Defensive Player of the Year. After 1.5 sacks gave him 16.5 this season, he’s on pace for 24 sacks. If he breaks the all-time record for a season (22.5, held by Michael Strahan), it’s going to be hard for AP voters not to give serious consideration to the biggest star of the league’s best defense — even if Pro Football Focus says guys like Von Miller and J.J. Watt have been much, much better. We’ll revisit this prediction as the year goes on, I’m sure.
– Patrick Willis and Justin Smith also had standout performances, and the safeties were brutal yet again. I have no idea how Dashon Goldson survives the punishment he dishes. He’s a part of those collisions too, right?
– It seems like the 49ers’ corners save their best plays for the end of games — Tarell Brown’s breakup of a 4th down pass to Joe Morgan was the latest example.
Randy Moss picks his spots
He didn’t catch a pass, but he had a key block on Kaepernick’s rushing TD and was treated like the future Hall of Famer he is by the referees when he interfered with a probable interception in the end zone … no call was made.
Think Harbaugh’s stressing this QB thing?
According to this photo that Perrish Cox posted, the 49ers’ head coach seemed pretty carefree before getting on the team plane (Cox said Harbaugh was joking around with “@t26brock gucci shades”:
Can’t blame a coach for being happy when the second place team in the division lost to fall three games back in the loss column, and will probably lose Richard Sherman and Brandon Browner for four games after both starting cornerbacks tested positive for Adderall.




















49ers Hot Read
49ersnews.com
49erswebzone.com
Niner Insider
Athletics Nation
95.7 FM The Game
Bay Area Sports Talk
Popblerd
Ray Ratto – CSNBA
Ruthless Sports
Giants Extra
Giants Talk
Giants365.com
GiantsPod
Optioned to Fresno
Fangraphs
Pro Football Talk
Feltbot's Warriors Blog
Joe Lacob & Co. [libelous slander]
WarriorsCentral.com

Let's just say that Kap is doing really well in place of Alex Smith. The first game Kap showed touch on his passes, then this second game he started he showed that he can sustain long drives and help the wideouts that have not really been making catches make the catches - i.e; Bruce Miller, Delanie Walker, Davis (while he was shut out vs Saints, Kap gave Davis 83 yards last week), and many more.. Kap is making the throws Alex can't make, so whatever it means, it provides a differential. Kap has won two games in a row as the starter; he has proved he can win as the starting QB. The only way to know Kap is the anointed savior as our new starter is if he wins down the stretch, pending that Harbaugh keeps Kap as starter over Alex. One thing I must quote: Kap gives us an instant touchdown when he rushes for them.
ive seen 0 for 3rd downs plenty of time from Smith, especially in the playoffs... Captain Kap is our QB for a while.... Go Niners!!!
...The Ravens defense when they won the Super Bowl that is.
Cap may not even get tested until the playoffs, which is a problem. With the Seahawks losing their top two d backs to drug suspensions, and the Patriots good schemers, but a mid ranking defense designed to hold off teams from outscoring the offense, its feasible that CK will win every game with the Niner D behind him. Still, the Niner defense is no where near the Ravens defense, and Kaepernick is going to have to make plays. I hope he does it, and that Harbaugh becomes a bigger legend, but I also hope he is not setting up using punting as an excuse when it doesn't happen. Harbaugh doesn't make excuses, and doesn't say 'next year', so he obviously has a ton of confidence in this kid...that or Alex starts next week. Don't be shocked.
C'mon, Eric. Stop trying to rationalize your opinions regarding Kaep. The guy has been "tested" against two hot teams, one of the leagues best defenses, an incredibly hostile environment, and a media feeding frenzy. He's played as well as Harbaugh could have hoped, given the circumstances. BTW, Seattle and New England, not easy places to play. Those would be considered "tests", by anyone's estimation.
This is breathtaking coming from a Smith fan. Chicago had the league's top rated defense according to several advanced statistics sites going into their game last week, but that wasn't a test. Coming off the bench cold against the Rams and marching the team down for very makable tying and winning field goal tries in the clutch wasn't a test. Playing against a hot New Orleans team in an extraordinarily loud dome where they'd recently beaten the last undefeated team in the league wasn't a test. Words fail. I don't know how Kaep will perform in the playoffs, but it is very unlikely he wouldn't be more successful than Smith. Playoff teams in the age of the forward pass have good pass rushes, and Smith is perhaps the worst quarterback in football in dealing with pressure. This from PFF: Alex Smith doesn’t like to take chances under pressure. He has the highest sack rate (33.8%) and the highest throwaway rate (20%) in the NFL. And on the 46% of times he's been under pressure that Smith has actually been able to get the ball in the direction of a receiver, he's 22nd in the league with a 5% interception rate. Add that to his inability to stretch the field, and Kaepernick's superior running ability, and it's clear that Smith is the liability come playoff time, not Kaepernick.
Hmm, Ginn and Kyle both out with injuries. Has any team ever just gave up on punt returns completely? Try to block every punt and if that doesn't work just fair catch everything.
Alex who? Captain Cool Kap Go niners!!
Random Thoughts: 1. Because of the ability to stretch the field, the Niners are simply better on third down with Kaepernick than Smith... and third down seems to separate the good quarterbacks from the really good/great ones. 2. I tweeted this earlier in the week (to my whopping 152 followers), but Harbaugh's toughest loss as a head coach could be blamed on a punt returner that might have been dealing with concussion symptoms. When he says "some bad experiences" in regards to concussions, I think he's partly referring to Kyle Williams. This gives him a little bit of an out if Kaepernick plays poorly, and he wants to go back to Smith. Like the BA Sports Guy said, though, it's hard to imagine him going back to Smith. 3. Did anybody get Aikman's exact quote on the Niners offensive line? Pretty high praise from a guy who played with some great lines. 4. With that O-line and defense, is there any doubt that the Niners have the best team in the league? 5. Between Akers, Ginn's fumble, and a little bit of shakiness in coverage units, the special teams still scare me... (although I admit it looked like they were improving the last few weeks). 6. Nothing can beat the 1986 class, but the 2011 Niners draft class will be one of their best ever. Aldon Smith, Kaepernick, Culliver, Hunter, and Miller could be mainstays for years. 7. Random facts that maybe only I care about... Kaepernick has won 15 straight starts in the continental US (Those damn Rainbow Warriors). And his last two road wins have been in Louisiana (La Tech and NO)
Was Alex supposed to be wearing his helmet the entire game? I know he is a professional, but him wearing a helmet the entire game made my heart break a little. It was like watching a guy, who worked so hard to get a girl to like him, watch her leave a party with another dude.
He was wearing his helmet when the offense was on the field so he can listen to the plays
Some teams and players thrive on drama; some not - time will tell which team 49ers are. Now if Kap stays as QB all year and is 0 or 1 and out in the play-offs (unlike Alex last year) - will the Alex haters turn on Kap? Or will they give Kap extra slack? If they win Super Bowl, Harbough becomes Bay Area God. Time will tell.
??? We were 1 and out of the playoffs last year. Alex fans are resorting to making stuff up to defend their view 'see, Kaepernick threw a pick- Smith never did that kind of thing'. It's absurd.
Well, your assuming a lot there; fact is their superior 13-3 record gave them a bye for the first round, their win over New Orleans was epic and you have to give Alex a LOT of credit for that scintillating win and they got nudged out by the eventual SB champs in OT in the conference championship . If Kap exceeds that, I'll be the first applauding, just noting its a high standard and it's really a team game and this is an excellent team, it's not just all about the QB.
Alex's play-off sample size is small and Kap's is nil, in fact only 2 regular season games worth, so it's "let's see" time for me. BTW, the NY Giants defense made Brady look bad. I'm rooting for whoever is under center for the 49ers.
I was just marveling at the double standard is all. Yes, a divisional win is more impressive than a wildcard round win, given the competition is likely to be better (though our divisional was at home and wildcard round games are not gimmes). But it was still 1 win. And as much as I loved that win- it was one of my best sports memories ever- I just don't see how it translates into 'we will go deep in the playoffs again so long as Alex Smith is the qb'. How is that a gimme? He had a horrible game against the Giants that was one of the primary reasons we lost that game. He's one of the worst in the league under pressure, (as in pass rush, not the big moment), and playoff teams typically have strong ones.
Ck is not 1-1-1, he is 2-0-1...1-1-1 was my 3 team parlay. Credit where its due for Colin.
Colin looked competent, but if not for the Niner defense, he would have been playing from behind. He is 1-1-1 in games he's played so far. Its not whether he is a good QB, because he is the heir apparent to Smith, but this was an average performance against the leagues worst D. What is it now Niner fans? Is it "Lay off, its his second game?" Well, yeah, that's what it should be, but with people like Fitz FUC talking about the next Brady, I haven't stopped laughing since. Harbaugh is smarter than all of us, which is why he hasn't crowned Colin the starter yet. Having seen first hand the absurdity of Steve young being boo'd for Steve Bono, I can only laugh harder at the chihuahua like nervousness, and dissatisfaction of 49er fans with their QB unless its Joe...and even then they wanted Joe gone for Steve...before Bono. CK looked positively pedestrian against the Saints. Alex has a ton of baggage, but is still the most efficient guy in the league at the position the last two years. You really think Colin can make the throws that need to be made against the Falcons, or if they have to go on the road to NY? The answer is no. I'm impressed with the win, but when guys like Matt Cassel are tossing as many yards against that awful Saints secondary, then the next 4 weeks better show some big big improvements so the Niners are not joining the Raiders on the couch in January.
That 'league worst D' also has the league's worst rushing defense which somehow still managed to shut down our rushing attack until the 4th quarter. Between that, the substantial pressure they were able to get on Kaepernick, the deafening crowd noise and the favors we did for them with the drops and the penalties that wiped out big plays (in some cases there the refs were the ones doing the favors) that 'league worst' D seemed pretty formiddable yesterday. And with all that, Kaepernick still managed a 90 passer rating and a more impressive QBR due to the fact that the latter captures the fact he didn't take sacks and the rushing TD and 3rd down, and the fact that the worst numbers came when they were running out the clock. I really don't know what game these Smith loyalists were watching, but it wasn't the same one I saw.
Spot on. I don't think Kaep had a great game by any means, but I don't think we'd have seen a much different net performance by Smith if he was starting. Maybe a few less mistakes, but more sacks and he wouldn't have been able to make some of those throws Kaep made.