Barry Zito

Against All Odds: Giants continue to hit homeruns, Zito continues to pitch well

Twelve: The number of homeruns hit over the past three days. Two: The average number of homeruns allowed per game at Citizens Bank Park (CPB), good for eleventh in the National League. 494,000: The number of page hits when you search “Tim McCarver and Global Warming and Crazy.”

I’m not suggesting that Tim McCarver is NOT crazy–doing so would be career suicide–or that the ballpark is solely responsible for the veritable home run derby we’ve seen the past few days–the Phillies average a modest .94 homeruns per home game. Nor am I suggesting that Global Warming is responsible —that would be too close to copyright infringement for comfort.

But perhaps it was the confluence of the latter two–McCarver’s crazy might have contributed, but there is no way I can prove it.

Retired physics professor from Yale University, Robert Adair, believed a rise in temperature by just two-degree will increase the home run odds by just under two percent.

Jason Samenow of the Washington Post found “eiree similarities” between the temperature curve and the number of homeruns per game.

Sure, there have been a number of advancements in the world of hitting–i.e., steroids–that have contributed to the rise of homeruns, but the temperature correlation is not to be ignored.

Unfortunately, the average temperatures in Philadelphia over the weekend were in the low-80s. So, perhaps Global Warming isn’t to blame.

If I had a dime for every time Mike Krukow described Citizens Bank Park as a “bandbox,” I’d have roughly twelve dimes.

CPB, according to Park Factor, allows 1.098 homeruns per game. The Park Factor metric asserts that any number above 1.000 favors the batters; any number below favors the pitcher. Obviously this would help to explain the number of homeruns.

Homeruns aside, however, CPB is rather pitcher friendly. The park ranks in the bottom third in hits, doubles, and triples allowed.

So what gives?

Maybe nothing. Perhaps this is the team we would see if AT&T weren’t the pitchers park that it is.

Zito continues impressive season 

Zito followed his strong start in Atlanta with another today. He struck out a season high seven batters, while allowing only five hits–three of which were homeruns–and one walk.

I’m not sure how long Zito will keep this up. While he’s improved upon his ERA, the rest of his numbers have remained consistent with his career averages. Which is to say, regression is likely. What is especially disconcerting is Zito’s 4.92 FIP, which is in the below average range.

Stolen BASGs

–What’s eating Brandon Belt? He’s having a miserable July.

April/March 16 9 41 36 4 10 4 0 0 5 5 11 .278 .366 .389 .755 .400
May 25 17 80 64 5 13 3 2 0 9 14 21 .203 .338 .313 .650 .289
June 25 21 85 71 9 21 5 1 4 15 12 16 .296 .400 .563 .963 .327
July 15 9 47 40 3 6 1 0 0 2 6 15 .150 .255 .175 .430 .231
Provided by View Original Table
Generated 7/22/2012.

Today was no different. Belt went 0-for-5 with three strikes out. He’s yet to reach base at Citizens Bank Park.

–The Giants are apparently not “showcasing” Nate Schierholtz. But Schierholtz is certainly showcasing himself. With the way Angel Pagan has been struggling, it should be interesting to see if Schierhotlz continues to get more playing time.

Ted Sillanpaa of the Santa Rosa Press Democrat had an interesting suggestion for the Giants: Trade for Hanley Ramirez.

Sillanpaa’s suggestion is contingent upon a few factors. Most notably, the Giants would have to essentially give up on Brandon Belt, as the acquisition of Ramirez would require Sandoval to move to first. And the Giants would have to find away to keep Heath Bell out of the deal.

It is all highly unlikely–perhaps even crazy. But with the Trade Deadline around the corner, we should brace ourselves.

–I watched the game at my parents’s house today. I left my computer for a moment, and when I came back, this had magically appeared on my computer screen: “However if they had their moms watching them it would all be a better game. Because moms are the best.”

I wonder who could have written it…

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